Confidence, IL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Confidence

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Confidence is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.

 

About 68% of adults in Confidence typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Confidence, ~9% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Confidence compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Confidence is the most Republican-leaning.

Confidence runs about 85 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Confidence is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Confidence leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Confidence, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Confidence, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 12% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the Illinois average of 27%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 86% of residents in Confidence drive to work alone, above 85% of cities. Confidence runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Confidence, IL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Confidence looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 94% of households in Confidence own their home, about 14 points above the Illinois average of 80%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.