Cottage City is a Democratic stronghold. About 84% of voters here vote Democratic and 16% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Cottage City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cottage City, ~42% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cottage City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cottage City leans more Democratic than 163 of 212 neighbors.
Cottage City runs about 39 points more Democratic than Maryland as a whole.
Why Cottage City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cottage City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 86% of residents in Cottage City live in densely developed areas, about 50 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in Cottage City have never been married, above 92% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Cottage City, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Cottage City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cottage City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 13 points above the Maryland average of 8%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Cottage City report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Colmar Manor, MD D+65
- North Brentwood, MD D+70
- Brentwood, MD D+68
- Mount Rainier, MD D+74
- Edmonston, MD D+67
- Bladensburg, MD D+68
- Riverdale Park, MD D+56
- Hyattsville, MD D+57
- Cheverly, MD D+72
- University Park, MD D+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gwinner, ND R+53
- Hopedale, OH R+57
- Dorset, MN R+29
- Geronimo, TX R+62
- Chesapeake, WV R+23
- Elliottsburg, PA R+61
- Dellroy, OH R+56
- Hampden-Sydney, VA D+18
- Wesley, AR R+60
- Unionville Center, OH R+47
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.