Covington leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Covington typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Covington, ~23% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Covington compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Covington leans more Republican than 6 of 60 neighbors.
Covington runs about 48 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Covington is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Covington. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 37 points.
Why Covington leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Covington, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in Covington drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Covington sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 90% of cities). Covington runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Covington, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Covington looks the way it does
Turnout in Covington sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rayon Terrace, VA R+67
- Clearwater Park, VA R+65
- Mallow, VA R+57
- Clifdale, VA R+65
- Callaghan, VA R+65
- Falling Spring, VA R+64
- Rich Patch, VA R+59
- Low Moor, VA R+57
- Carloover, VA R+55
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oakvale, WV R+56
- Little Ferry, NJ Even
- Bala-Cynwyd, PA D+44
- Pendleton, SC R+36
- Winooski, VT D+57
- Villas, NJ R+22
- Eatonville, WA R+35
- Richboro, PA R+11
- Lincoln Village, OH R+5
- Jamestown, TN R+68
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.