Cross Timbers is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Cross Timbers typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cross Timbers, ~12% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cross Timbers compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cross Timbers leans more Republican than 33 of 45 neighbors.
Cross Timbers runs about 49 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Cross Timbers leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cross Timbers, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Cross Timbers live in densely developed areas, about 18 points below the Missouri average of 22%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Cross Timbers, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Cross Timbers looks the way it does
Turnout in Cross Timbers sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Jordan, MO R+68
- Fristoe, MO R+63
- Preston, MO R+68
- Hermitage, MO R+58
- Quincy, MO R+68
- Wheatland, MO R+64
- Hastain, MO R+65
- Pittsburg, MO R+59
- Pom-o-sa Heights, MO R+62
- Urbana, MO R+67
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mount Lebanon, TN R+75
- Burbank, OK R+70
- Barnard, VT D+25
- Waterbury, NE R+60
- Launiupoko, HI D+21
- Paynes Creek, CA R+39
- Cassel, CA R+43
- Rathbun, PA R+55
- Pauwela, HI D+14
- Nancy Wrights Corner, VA R+47
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.