Pauwela, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Pauwela

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Pauwela leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.

 

About 48% of adults in Pauwela typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pauwela, ~27% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Pauwela compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Pauwela leans more Democratic than 3 of 27 neighbors.

Pauwela runs about 9 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.

Why Pauwela leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pauwela, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 50% of adults in Pauwela have never been married, far above similar-sized cities (around 20%).

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Pauwela, HI sits above the national average on this measure.

Why turnout in Pauwela looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 62% of households in Pauwela rent, about 37 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Pauwela sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.