Danville is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 87% of adults in Danville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Danville, ~43% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Danville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Danville sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 25 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 65 leaning the other way.
Danville runs about 33 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Danville sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Danville. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Danville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Danville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Danville votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Danville runs about 33 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Danville, VT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Danville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Danville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Danville Center, VT D+3
- Passumpsic, VT R+5
- South Danville, VT D+6
- St. Johnsbury, VT Even
- West Danville, VT R+7
- North Danville, VT R+4
- East Cabot, VT D+18
- Peacham, VT D+7
- South Peacham, VT R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Allenwood, PA R+66
- Curtiss, WI R+48
- Mount Hope, OH R+75
- Yeagertown, PA R+51
- Accomac, VA R+12
- Roosevelt, NJ R+12
- Colfax, IN R+59
- McGregor, IA R+32
- Red Valley, VA R+57
- Anderson Island, WA D+13
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.