Daviess County is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Daviess County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Daviess County, ~13% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Daviess County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Daviess County leans more Republican than 11 of 14 neighbors.
Daviess County runs about 45 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Daviess County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Daviess County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Daviess County, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the U.S. average of 28%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Daviess County sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 8%, below 88% of counties). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 70% of households in Daviess County are family households, above 79% of counties.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Daviess County, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Daviess County looks the way it does
Turnout in Daviess County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Caldwell County, MO R+59
- DeKalb County, MO R+57
- Grundy County, MO R+57
- Livingston County, MO R+52
- Harrison County, MO R+64
- Gentry County, MO R+63
- Clinton County, MO R+48
- Mercer County, MO R+70
- Ray County, MO R+53
- Andrew County, MO R+50
Counties with Similar Populations
- Maries County, MO R+66
- Warren County, IN R+58
- Ritchie County, WV R+68
- Johnson County, WY R+60
- Sitka City and Borough, AK D+13
- Bracken County, KY R+58
- Knox County, NE R+56
- Jack County, TX R+74
- Trimble County, KY R+57
- Cedar County, NE R+67
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.