Trimble County is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Trimble County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Trimble County, ~15% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Trimble County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Trimble County leans more Republican than 20 of 27 neighbors.
Trimble County runs about 26 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Trimble County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Trimble County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Trimble County, about 92% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 28%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Trimble County, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Trimble County looks the way it does
Turnout in Trimble County sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Carroll County, KY R+51
- Jefferson County, IN R+43
- Henry County, KY R+51
- Oldham County, KY R+23
- Switzerland County, IN R+63
- Scott County, IN R+53
- Clark County, IN R+23
- Owen County, KY R+63
- Gallatin County, KY R+57
- Shelby County, KY R+32
Counties with Similar Populations
- Jack County, TX R+74
- Montgomery County, AR R+67
- Sitka City and Borough, AK D+13
- Carroll County, MO R+61
- Johnson County, WY R+60
- Ritchie County, WV R+68
- Warren County, IN R+58
- Kiowa County, OK R+61
- Perry County, AL D+41
- Maries County, MO R+66
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.