Ray County is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Ray County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ray County, ~18% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ray County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Ray County leans more Republican than 13 of 17 neighbors.
Ray County runs about 35 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Ray County. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+64) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+52), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Ray County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ray County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Ray County, about 92% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points below the Missouri average of 22%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 69% of households in Ray County are family households, above 77% of counties.
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a low frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ray County, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in Ray County looks the way it does
Turnout in Ray County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Lafayette County, MO R+51
- Caldwell County, MO R+59
- Clay County, MO R+7
- Clinton County, MO R+48
- Jackson County, MO D+24
- Carroll County, MO R+61
- Platte County, MO R+5
- DeKalb County, MO R+57
- Wyandotte County, KS D+26
- Daviess County, MO R+63
Counties with Similar Populations
- Hampshire County, WV R+62
- St. Francis County, AR D+18
- Clarke County, AL R+14
- Crawford County, MO R+61
- Vilas County, WI R+18
- Hopewell City, VA D+23
- McDonald County, MO R+65
- Yankton County, SD R+35
- Teton County, WY D+16
- Saline County, MO R+36
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.