Davis leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Davis typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Davis, ~31% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Davis compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Davis leans more Republican than 24 of 61 neighbors.
Davis runs about 40 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Davis is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Davis. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Davis leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Davis, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Davis votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 40%, modestly above the Illinois average of 33%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Davis are family households, above 80% of cities. Davis runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Davis, IL sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Davis looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Davis own their home, about 11 points above the Illinois average of 80%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lake Summerset, IL R+40
- Rock City, IL R+42
- Durand, IL R+35
- Rock Grove, IL R+44
- Oakley, WI R+33
- Dakota, IL R+44
- Winneshiek, IL R+43
- Twin Grove, WI R+36
- Pecatonica, IL R+34
- Ridott, IL R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Elm Springs, AR R+41
- Mississippi State, MS R+6
- Philippi, WV R+49
- Texanna, OK R+62
- Chatfield, MN R+30
- Walnut, MS R+82
- Pewee Valley, KY R+15
- Garner, IA R+32
- Princeton, LA R+55
- Lake Erie Beach, NY R+16
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.