Chatfield leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Chatfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chatfield, ~30% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chatfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Chatfield leans more Republican than 13 of 51 neighbors.
Chatfield runs about 35 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Chatfield is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Chatfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chatfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Chatfield votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Chatfield runs about 35 points more Republican.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Chatfield, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Chatfield looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Chatfield is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cummingsville, MN R+33
- Saratoga, MN R+38
- Troy, MN R+36
- Fountain, MN R+37
- Predmore, MN R+36
- Washington, MN R+41
- Wykoff, MN R+40
- Pleasant Grove, MN R+37
- Dover, MN R+40
- Eyota, MN R+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Davis, IL R+29
- Pewee Valley, KY R+15
- Walnut, MS R+82
- Elm Springs, AR R+41
- Texanna, OK R+62
- Philippi, WV R+49
- Barnesville, MN R+28
- Mississippi State, MS R+6
- Lake Erie Beach, NY R+16
- Girard, KS R+47
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.