Dawn is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Dawn typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dawn, ~12% vote Democratic, ~68% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dawn compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dawn leans more Republican than 35 of 42 neighbors.
Dawn runs about 52 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Dawn leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dawn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Dawn sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 8 points above the Missouri average of 87%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Dawn, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Dawn looks the way it does
Turnout in Dawn sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Avalon, MO R+70
- Utica, MO R+68
- Ludlow, MO R+69
- Coloma, MO R+71
- Plymouth, MO R+71
- Mooresville, MO R+67
- Mandeville, MO R+71
- Tina, MO R+67
- Chillicothe, MO R+46
- Braymer, MO R+57
Cities with Similar Populations
- Aberdeen Gardens, WA R+35
- Little Switzerland, NC R+59
- Woodbury, MI R+42
- Mount Salem, KY R+69
- Schofield, MO R+71
- New Liberty, IA R+44
- Hamilton, WA R+33
- Shamrock, MO R+64
- Nicolville, MN R+26
- Randall, IA R+40
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.