Dawson leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Dawson typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dawson, ~24% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dawson compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dawson leans more Republican than 15 of 44 neighbors.
Dawson runs about 26 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Dawson is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Dawson leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dawson, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dawson votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Dawson runs about 26 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Dawson sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 91% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Dawson, OR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Dawson looks the way it does
Turnout in Dawson sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bellfountain, OR R+15
- Monroe, OR R+18
- Glenbrook, OR R+16
- Alsea, OR R+7
- Horton, OR R+21
- Peoria, OR R+30
- Philomath, OR D+26
- Miller, OR R+54
- Lancaster, OR R+26
- Blachly, OR R+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Searight, AL R+74
- Roper, KS R+69
- Roscoe, KY R+64
- Sergeant, PA R+46
- Twin Bridges, CA R+16
- Isle Au Haut, ME D+29
- Sellers, MO R+70
- Turret, CO R+5
- Cashel, ND R+64
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.