Deer is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Deer typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Deer, ~12% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Deer compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Deer leans more Republican than 18 of 45 neighbors.
Deer runs about 32 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Deer. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+67) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+55), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Deer leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Deer, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Deer live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Arkansas average of 13%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Deer sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 88% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Deer are family households, above 85% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Deer, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Deer looks the way it does
Turnout in Deer sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wayton, AR R+56
- Parthenon, AR R+56
- Limestone, AR R+65
- Murray, AR R+61
- Walnut, AR R+65
- Mossville, AR R+55
- Lurton, AR R+68
- Vendor, AR R+73
- Jasper, AR R+63
- Salus, AR R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Acme, WA Even
- Salt Springs, FL R+60
- Hinesville, VA R+52
- Longview, LA R+86
- Longtown, TN D+33
- Bee Bayou, LA R+71
- Allenport, PA R+32
- Ozone, AR R+63
- Fouke, TX R+71
- Kieler, WI R+43
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.