Deming leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Deming typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Deming, ~24% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Deming compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Deming leans more Republican than 1 of 5 neighbors.
Deming runs about 23 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Deming is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Deming. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Deming leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Deming, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Deming votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 43%, well above the New Mexico average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Deming runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Deming, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Deming looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Deming is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 8 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 33% of adults in Deming report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in Deming have completed high school, below 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ventura, NM R+27
- Keeler Farm, NM R+28
- Sunshine, NM R+27
- Gage, NM R+29
- Faywood, NM R+9
- Columbus, NM R+26
- Whitewater, NM R+29
- Sherman, NM D+7
- Fort Bayard, NM D+6
- Hurley, NM R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Park Forest, IL D+69
- Meadowbrook, VA D+45
- Bay City, TX R+20
- Parma Heights, OH D+3
- Silverdale, WA D+9
- Fort Bragg, NC Even
- Woodinville, WA D+32
- East Providence, RI D+12
- Dallas, OR R+17
- Millersville, MD D+13
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.