Dillwyn leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Dillwyn typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dillwyn, ~23% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dillwyn compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dillwyn leans more Republican than 19 of 70 neighbors.
Dillwyn runs about 23 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Dillwyn is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dillwyn. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+43) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 37 points.
Why Dillwyn leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dillwyn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Dillwyn hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Dillwyn runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a never-married-heavy adult population tend to turn out at a lower rate; Dillwyn, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Dillwyn looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 20% of adults in Dillwyn report food insecurity, above 81% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Dillwyn have completed high school, below 76% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Curdsville, VA R+27
- Sprouses Corner, VA R+36
- Alpha, VA R+20
- Buckingham, VA R+35
- Ransons, VA R+21
- Andersonville, VA R+43
- Mount Vinco, VA R+28
- Guinea Mills, VA R+25
- Hillcrest, VA R+14
- New Canton, VA R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Melrose, MN R+51
- Onsted, MI R+33
- Trafalgar, IN R+57
- Blackstone, VA D+6
- Harrington Park, NJ D+5
- Michigan Center, MI R+24
- Niota, TN R+71
- Northvale, NJ R+9
- Spencer, WV R+55
- Grant-Valkaria, FL R+41
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.