Alpha leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Alpha typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Alpha, ~22% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Alpha compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Alpha leans more Republican than 23 of 71 neighbors.
Alpha runs about 26 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Alpha is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Alpha. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+27) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Alpha leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Alpha, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Alpha votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Alpha runs about 26 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Alpha sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 81% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Alpha, VA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Alpha looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Alpha is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Alpha report food insecurity, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dillwyn, VA R+18
- Curdsville, VA R+27
- Sprouses Corner, VA R+36
- New Canton, VA R+8
- Ransons, VA R+21
- Arvonia, VA R+13
- Trent Mill, VA R+18
- Hillcrest, VA R+14
- Buckingham, VA R+35
- Guinea Mills, VA R+25
Cities with Similar Populations
- Paupack, PA R+29
- Maplehurst, MI R+30
- Glen, NH Even
- Heron Lake, MN R+56
- West Crossett, AR R+48
- Graton, CA D+55
- Conover, OH R+65
- West Milton, PA R+40
- New Middletown, IN R+51
- Sawyer, KY R+76
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.