Hillcrest leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Hillcrest typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hillcrest, ~29% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hillcrest compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hillcrest leans more Republican than 12 of 63 neighbors.
Hillcrest runs about 19 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Hillcrest is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hillcrest. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+27) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+12), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Hillcrest leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hillcrest, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Hillcrest live in densely developed areas, about 21 points below the Virginia average of 26%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Hillcrest sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 82% of cities). Hillcrest runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Hillcrest, VA sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Hillcrest looks the way it does
Turnout in Hillcrest sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Trent Mill, VA R+18
- Guinea Mills, VA R+25
- Cumberland, VA R+21
- Sunny Side, VA R+25
- Oak Forest, VA R+35
- Stoddert, VA R+23
- Curdsville, VA R+27
- Alpha, VA R+20
- Dillwyn, VA R+18
- Ballsville, VA R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Poplar Plains, KY R+61
- Slacks, LA D+11
- Allendorf, IA R+65
- Glen Haven, MI Even
- Goodwin, AR R+40
- Julian, NE R+55
- Leda, VA R+7
- Jewell Valley, VA R+72
- Virginia, ID R+66
- Robinson, AR R+56
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.