Dolphin leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Dolphin typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dolphin, ~37% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dolphin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dolphin leans more Democratic than 42 of 57 neighbors.
Politically, Dolphin sits close to the rest of Virginia.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dolphin. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+26) and the west side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Dolphin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dolphin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 32% of adults in Dolphin have never been married, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 22%).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Dolphin, VA sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Dolphin looks the way it does
Turnout in Dolphin sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Warfield, VA D+3
- Edgerton, VA D+39
- Cochran, VA D+26
- Lawrenceville, VA D+36
- Freeman, VA D+28
- Alberta, VA R+8
- Lawrenceville Hills, VA D+28
- Rawlings, VA R+12
- Danieltown, VA R+16
- Meredithville, VA D+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Driftwood, OH R+48
- Whitehall, TX R+51
- Varney, KY R+77
- East Titusville, PA R+57
- Crayon, OH R+61
- Hestand, KY R+71
- Brazos Country, TX R+68
- West Waldoboro, ME R+8
- Sycamore, PA R+54
- Frazier, GA R+59
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.