Lawrenceville Hills, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Lawrenceville Hills

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Lawrenceville Hills leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.

 

About 61% of adults in Lawrenceville Hills typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrenceville Hills, ~39% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Lawrenceville Hills compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Lawrenceville Hills leans more Democratic than 58 of 62 neighbors.

Lawrenceville Hills runs about 23 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lawrenceville Hills. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+36) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 46 points.

Why Lawrenceville Hills leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lawrenceville Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 37% of adults in Lawrenceville Hills have never been married, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 22%).

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lawrenceville Hills, VA sits above the national average on this measure.

Why turnout in Lawrenceville Hills looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lawrenceville Hills is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in Lawrenceville Hills report food insecurity, above 94% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Lawrenceville Hills sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.