Dover leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Dover typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dover, ~25% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dover compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dover leans more Republican than 9 of 18 neighbors.
Dover runs about 38 points more Republican than Wisconsin as a whole.
Why Dover leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dover, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Dover, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Wisconsin average of 26%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Dover, WI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Dover looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Dover is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Dover own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Brantwood, WI R+39
- Tripoli, WI R+33
- Prentice, WI R+46
- Spirit, WI R+41
- Spirit Falls, WI R+38
- Ogema, WI R+45
- Phillips, WI R+35
- Catawba, WI R+44
- Westboro, WI R+49
- Rib Lake, WI R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cox, FL R+55
- Standard, LA R+91
- Oley Furnace, PA R+27
- Elevenpoint, AR R+73
- Wallis Run, PA R+61
- Purmela, TX R+78
- Chambersburg, MO R+66
- Stennett, IA R+49
- Zearing, IL R+36
- Wales, MN R+12
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.