Durham leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 90% of adults in Durham typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Durham, ~32% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Durham compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Durham leans more Republican than 77 of 96 neighbors.
Durham runs about 35 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Durham is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Durham leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Durham, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Durham votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Durham runs about 35 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Durham are family households, above 87% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Durham, ME sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Durham looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Durham own their home, about 12 points above the Maine average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Webster Corner, ME R+29
- North Pownal, ME R+20
- Lisbon Falls, ME R+21
- Lisbon, ME R+23
- Pejepscot, ME D+14
- Pownal, ME R+9
- Freeport, ME D+28
- Topsham, ME D+14
- New Gloucester, ME R+17
- Upper Gloucester, ME R+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Milford, NE R+54
- Lake Royale, NC R+39
- Charlotte, VT D+34
- Ingram, PA D+14
- Sugarloaf, PA R+43
- Hays, NC R+69
- Goodview, MN R+12
- Enterprise, MS R+69
- Augusta, MI R+12
- Spring Valley, MN R+32
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.