Spring Valley leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Spring Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Spring Valley, ~26% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Spring Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Spring Valley leans more Republican than 13 of 48 neighbors.
Spring Valley runs about 36 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Spring Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Spring Valley. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Spring Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Spring Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Spring Valley votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Spring Valley runs about 36 points more Republican.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Spring Valley, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Spring Valley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Spring Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 60% of cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Spring Valley have completed high school, above 80% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ostrander, MN R+44
- Hamilton, MN R+41
- Etna, MN R+39
- Wykoff, MN R+40
- Washington, MN R+41
- Racine, MN R+46
- Grand Meadow, MN R+46
- Greenleafton, MN R+33
- Pleasant Grove, MN R+37
- Le Roy, MN R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sugarloaf, PA R+43
- Hays, NC R+69
- Milford, NE R+54
- Charlotte, VT D+34
- Woodbourne, NY R+16
- Sherburne, NY R+42
- Durham, ME R+28
- Lake Royale, NC R+39
- Goodview, MN R+12
- Holland, NY R+35
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.