Eagle Bay leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Eagle Bay typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Eagle Bay, ~30% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Eagle Bay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Eagle Bay leans more Republican than 6 of 13 neighbors.
Eagle Bay runs about 24 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Eagle Bay is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Eagle Bay. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+17) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Eagle Bay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Eagle Bay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Eagle Bay live in densely developed areas, about 33 points below the New York average of 36%. Eagle Bay runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Eagle Bay, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Eagle Bay looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Eagle Bay is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Eagle Bay own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Inlet, NY R+10
- Old Forge, NY R+3
- Raquette Lake, NY R+4
- Thendara, NY R+11
- Number Four, NY R+25
- Otter Lake, NY R+32
- Brantingham, NY R+28
- Blue Mountain Lake, NY D+4
- Wanakena, NY R+27
- Crystal Dale, NY R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Plankton, OH R+68
- Allakaket, AK D+33
- Roads End, OR R+3
- Montague, MO R+67
- Devils Tower, WY R+76
- Arab, MO R+73
- Antioch, GA R+64
- Roark, KY R+74
- Boyds, WA R+41
- Jamestown, AR R+59
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.