Earleville leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Earleville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Earleville, ~22% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Earleville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Earleville leans more Republican than 107 of 117 neighbors.
Earleville runs about 76 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Earleville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Earleville. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+49) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+37), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Earleville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Earleville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Earleville votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Earleville runs about 76 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Earleville, MD sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Earleville looks the way it does
Turnout in Earleville sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- White Crystal Beach, MD R+45
- Hazelmoor, MD R+43
- Hack Point, MD R+45
- Red Point, MD R+32
- Cecilton, MD R+37
- Sassafras, MD R+34
- Kentmore Park, MD R+15
- Olivet Hill, MD R+29
- Betterton, MD R+6
- Randalia, MD R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Deep Gap, NC R+29
- Mayville, ND R+33
- Smackover, AR R+48
- Oglala, SD D+61
- Spout Spring, VA R+48
- Orondo, WA R+27
- Salem, MI R+11
- Hoboken, AL R+15
- Berkeley Lake, GA Even
- Blue Eye, MO R+49
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.