East Hardwick leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 76% of adults in East Hardwick typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Hardwick, ~33% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Hardwick compares
Among cities within 25 miles, East Hardwick leans more Republican than 54 of 86 neighbors.
East Hardwick runs about 47 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while East Hardwick is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within East Hardwick. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+21) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 16 points.
Why East Hardwick leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Hardwick, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
East Hardwick votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while East Hardwick runs about 47 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; East Hardwick, VT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in East Hardwick looks the way it does
Turnout in East Hardwick sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Greensboro Bend, VT D+7
- Hardwick Center, VT R+16
- Mackville, VT R+21
- Hardwick, VT R+19
- South Walden, VT R+9
- Stannard, VT R+20
- Greensboro, VT D+24
- West Danville, VT R+7
- Pottersville, VT R+9
- East Craftsbury, VT D+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hewitt, MN R+58
- Plainview, AR R+69
- Menominee, IL R+35
- Franklinville, IL R+17
- University Park, IA R+37
- North Bradley, MI R+39
- Gilbert, PA R+32
- Vergennes, IL R+60
- Corn, OK R+75
- Richland, KS R+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.