East Montpelier leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 85% of adults in East Montpelier typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Montpelier, ~53% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Montpelier compares
Among cities within 25 miles, East Montpelier leans more Democratic than 70 of 83 neighbors.
East Montpelier runs about 10 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Why East Montpelier leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Montpelier, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 53% of adults in East Montpelier hold a bachelor's degree, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in East Montpelier have never been married, above 86% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; East Montpelier, VT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in East Montpelier looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. East Montpelier is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in East Montpelier have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Montpelier, VT D+27
- Plainfield, VT D+24
- Montpelier, VT D+42
- Adamant, VT D+23
- Barre, VT D+3
- Wrightsville, VT D+22
- Marshfield, VT D+12
- East Calais, VT D+18
- Websterville, VT R+6
- East Barre, VT R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Brooklyn, MS R+76
- Toughkenamon, PA R+5
- Dibble, OK R+71
- Westfield Center, OH R+38
- Congerville, IL R+48
- Mechanicsville, IA R+34
- Wakefield, MS R+52
- Marydel, DE R+51
- Mountain City, GA R+56
- Holloway, LA R+88
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.