East Rockaway leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 83% of adults in East Rockaway typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Rockaway, ~35% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Rockaway compares
Among cities within 25 miles, East Rockaway leans more Republican than 156 of 196 neighbors.
East Rockaway runs about 29 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while East Rockaway is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within East Rockaway. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+23) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 12 points.
Why East Rockaway leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Rockaway, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
East Rockaway votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 98%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. East Rockaway runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; East Rockaway, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in East Rockaway looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. East Rockaway is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hewlett Harbor, NY R+42
- Lynbrook, NY R+6
- Hewlett Bay Park, NY R+44
- Oceanside, NY R+17
- Hewlett, NY R+16
- Hewlett Neck, NY R+45
- Rockville Centre, NY D+7
- Malverne, NY R+4
- Woodsburgh, NY R+47
- Valley Stream, NY D+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glendale, WI D+47
- Port Allen, LA Even
- Marengo, IL R+23
- Westphalia, MD D+79
- Augusta, KS R+42
- Green River, WY R+50
- Ellisville, MS R+51
- Alma, MI R+14
- Elberton, GA R+23
- Vienna, WV R+33
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.