East Rockingham leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 70% of adults in East Rockingham typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Rockingham, ~27% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Rockingham compares
Among cities within 25 miles, East Rockingham leans more Republican than 32 of 56 neighbors.
East Rockingham runs about 18 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within East Rockingham. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+28), a spread of about 32 points.
Why East Rockingham leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Rockingham, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 95% of residents in East Rockingham drive to work alone, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and East Rockingham sits in the bottom quarter (about 10%, below 93% of cities).
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; East Rockingham, NC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in East Rockingham looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. East Rockingham is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 15 points below the North Carolina average of 61%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rockingham, NC R+16
- Oak Ridge Park, NC R+16
- Cordova, NC R+42
- Hamlet, NC R+7
- Dobbins Heights, NC D+60
- New Town, NC R+13
- Ledbetter, NC R+29
- Steen Town, NC R+26
- Old Hundred, NC R+19
- Ellerbe, NC R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Climax, NC R+56
- Carlisle, IN R+22
- Rosepine, LA R+75
- Watkins Glen, NY R+20
- Lovell, WY R+70
- Hamilton, IL R+32
- Mescalero, NM D+42
- Verona, MS D+51
- Islamorada, FL R+39
- Curtice, OH R+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.