North Elmore is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 53% of adults in North Elmore typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Elmore, ~10% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Elmore compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Elmore leans more Republican than 33 of 50 neighbors.
North Elmore runs about 31 points more Republican than Alabama as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within North Elmore. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+64) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+40), a spread of about 24 points.
Why North Elmore leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Elmore, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 9% of adults in North Elmore hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Alabama average of 20%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 90% of residents in North Elmore drive to work alone, above 94% of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; North Elmore, AL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in North Elmore looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. North Elmore is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 10 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 37% of households in North Elmore rent, compared to around 19% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in North Elmore report food insecurity, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Elmore, AL R+48
- Holtville, AL R+59
- Coosada, AL R+18
- Deatsville, AL R+58
- Stoney Point, AL R+27
- Millbrook, AL R+28
- Wallsboro, AL R+36
- Wetumpka, AL R+47
- Titus, AL R+78
- Pine Flat, AL R+79
Cities with Similar Populations
- Allouez, MI R+9
- El Rancho, NM D+20
- McNally, IA R+64
- Drury, MA R+8
- Central City, SD R+51
- Nirvana, MI R+14
- Max, NE R+79
- Sibleyville, NY Even
- Horse Creek, WY R+46
- Pleasant Point, ME Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.