Elba leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Elba typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elba, ~17% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elba compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elba leans more Republican than 86 of 123 neighbors.
Elba runs about 56 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Elba is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Elba leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elba, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elba votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Elba runs about 56 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in Elba are family households, above 89% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Elba, NY sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Elba looks the way it does
Turnout in Elba sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Daws, NY R+28
- Pumpkin Hill, NY R+42
- Byron, NY R+39
- Oakfield, NY R+41
- Alabama, NY R+25
- West Barre, NY R+51
- Batavia, NY R+13
- Honest Hill, NY R+43
- South Byron, NY R+36
- Barre Center, NY R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Heathcote, NJ D+32
- Weeksville, NC R+45
- Lewiston, MN R+45
- Evangeline, LA R+88
- Waddington, NY R+26
- Waco, KY R+58
- Larchwood, IA R+64
- Minnesota City, MN R+21
- Currituck, NC R+57
- Bayfield, WI D+48
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.