Pumpkin Hill leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Pumpkin Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pumpkin Hill, ~26% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pumpkin Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pumpkin Hill leans more Republican than 79 of 119 neighbors.
Pumpkin Hill runs about 54 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Pumpkin Hill is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Pumpkin Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pumpkin Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Pumpkin Hill votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Pumpkin Hill runs about 54 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 88% of households in Pumpkin Hill are family households, in the top fraction of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Pumpkin Hill, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Pumpkin Hill looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Pumpkin Hill is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in Pumpkin Hill own their home, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Pumpkin Hill have completed high school, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Byron, NY R+39
- Honest Hill, NY R+43
- North Bergen, NY R+43
- South Byron, NY R+36
- Elba, NY R+44
- Bergen, NY R+34
- Kendall Mills, NY R+42
- Manning, NY R+44
- Stone Church, NY R+38
- Sweden Center, NY R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bishop, WV R+65
- Beverly, KS R+72
- Kerr, OH R+61
- Kevin, MT R+64
- Newtown, MD R+33
- Sereno, MO R+69
- Realitos, TX Even
- North Brookfield, NY R+45
- Kinnear, WY R+22
- Kirkman, IA R+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.