Elkton leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Elkton typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elkton, ~19% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elkton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elkton leans more Republican than 10 of 14 neighbors.
Elkton runs about 52 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Elkton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Elkton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elkton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elkton votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Elkton runs about 52 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Elkton, OR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Elkton looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 28% of households in Elkton rent, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Scottsburg, OR R+35
- Tyee, OR R+31
- Drain, OR R+38
- Yoncalla, OR R+41
- Rice Hill, OR R+44
- Oakland, OR R+37
- Stephens, OR R+29
- Old Town, OR R+38
- Union Gap, OR R+37
- Lorane, OR R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Forest Hills, KY R+67
- Sycamore Hills, MO D+29
- Stark City, MO R+72
- Stone Church, NY R+38
- Girkin, KY R+50
- Garrett, TX R+33
- Brenton, WV R+72
- Groveland, CA R+20
- Brooklin, ME D+17
- Richmond Corner, ME R+17
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.