Groveland leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Groveland typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Groveland, ~31% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Groveland compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Groveland leans more Republican than 14 of 29 neighbors.
Groveland runs about 41 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Groveland is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Groveland leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Groveland, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Groveland live in densely developed areas, about 53 points below the California average of 58%. Groveland runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Groveland, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Groveland looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Groveland is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Greeley Hill, CA R+34
- Pine Mountain Lake, CA R+10
- Big Oak Flat, CA R+23
- Coulterville, CA R+34
- Tuolumne, CA R+30
- Sugar Pine, CA R+15
- Standard, CA R+26
- Foresta, CA R+11
- Soulsbyville, CA R+30
- Moccasin, CA R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Elkton, OR R+38
- Forest Hills, KY R+67
- Sycamore Hills, MO D+29
- Stone Church, NY R+38
- Garrett, TX R+33
- Girkin, KY R+50
- Stark City, MO R+72
- Brenton, WV R+72
- Brooklin, ME D+17
- Cantrall, IL R+38
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.