Ellison Bay leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Ellison Bay typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ellison Bay, ~45% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ellison Bay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ellison Bay leans more Democratic than 6 of 11 neighbors.
Ellison Bay runs about 15 points more Democratic than Wisconsin as a whole. Wisconsin is roughly evenly split, and Ellison Bay sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Why Ellison Bay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ellison Bay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 59% of adults in Ellison Bay hold a bachelor's degree, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Ellison Bay runs against the grain of Wisconsin, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ellison Bay, WI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Ellison Bay looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Ellison Bay is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Ellison Bay have completed high school, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rowleys Bay, WI D+14
- Gills Rock, WI D+14
- Sister Bay, WI D+24
- Ephraim, WI D+23
- Washington Island, WI D+14
- Fish Creek, WI D+22
- Baileys Harbor, WI D+8
- Egg Harbor, WI D+4
- Jacksonport, WI R+3
- Cedar River, MI R+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Matherville, IL R+30
- Hartland, NY R+47
- Hoyleton, IL R+62
- Greenwich, NJ R+31
- Kelso, MO R+69
- Irvington, WI R+28
- Rudyard, MI R+39
- Thatcher, OH R+55
- Stittsville, MI R+51
- Lakeland, LA R+44
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.