Ellisville is a Republican stronghold. About 25% of voters here vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Ellisville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ellisville, ~19% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ellisville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ellisville leans more Republican than 58 of 62 neighbors.
Ellisville runs about 62 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Ellisville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Ellisville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ellisville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Ellisville, about 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the Illinois average of 27%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Ellisville sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 82% of cities). Ellisville runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Ellisville, IL does.
Why turnout in Ellisville looks the way it does
Turnout in Ellisville sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- London Mills, IL R+46
- Fairview, IL R+38
- Checkrow, IL R+45
- Fiatt, IL R+41
- Seville, IL R+49
- Avon, IL R+44
- St. Augustine, IL R+45
- Rapatee, IL R+42
- Smithfield, IL R+50
- Prairie City, IL R+55
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fiat, IN R+66
- Altair, TX R+63
- Endicott, NE R+59
- Foraker, KY R+68
- Rantowles, SC D+7
- Funkley, MN R+50
- Nonaburg, TN R+71
- Platner, CO R+70
- Highland View, FL R+49
- Rosalie, AL R+78
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.