Ellsworth is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 81% of adults in Ellsworth typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ellsworth, ~41% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ellsworth compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ellsworth sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 33 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 35 leaning the other way.
Ellsworth runs about 5 points more Republican than Maine as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ellsworth. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+28), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Ellsworth leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Ellsworth. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ellsworth, ME sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Ellsworth looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Ellsworth is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Ellsworth have completed high school, above 80% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fletchers Landing, ME R+25
- Surry, ME D+15
- Trenton, ME D+6
- West Ellsworth, ME D+12
- West Franklin, ME R+10
- Hancock, ME D+5
- Marlboro, ME D+6
- Lamoine, ME D+6
- East Blue Hill, ME D+6
- Winkumpaugh Corners, ME R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yorktown, IN R+25
- Bridgeport, WV R+29
- Tyrone, PA R+47
- Edgewood, NM R+26
- Middle Island, NY R+3
- Waynesboro, GA D+6
- Lake Grove, NY R+24
- Berkley, CO D+31
- Signal Hill, CA D+34
- Beatrice, NE R+37
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.