Elmore leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Elmore typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elmore, ~23% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elmore compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elmore leans more Republican than 16 of 37 neighbors.
Elmore runs about 50 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Elmore is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Elmore leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elmore, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elmore votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Elmore runs about 50 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Elmore sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 80% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Elmore, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Elmore looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Elmore is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dell, MN R+46
- Ledyard, IA R+57
- Pilot Grove, MN R+53
- Blue Earth, MN R+26
- Rake, IA R+44
- Frost, MN R+47
- Lakota, IA R+54
- Buffalo Center, IA R+40
- Guckeen, MN R+51
- Riverside Heights, MN R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kirkwood, DE D+29
- Heinola, MN R+44
- Moberly, KY R+50
- Noatak, AK D+24
- Osmond, NC R+32
- Pecan Hill, TX R+44
- Reader, WV R+70
- Mount Vernon Club Place, CO D+25
- Branch, AR R+69
- Shutter Corners, NY R+32
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.