Elmwood leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 39% of adults in Elmwood typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elmwood, ~27% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elmwood compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Elmwood leans more Democratic than 23 of 37 neighbors.
Elmwood runs about 26 points more Democratic than Rhode Island as a whole.
Why Elmwood leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Elmwood. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Elmwood, Providence, RI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Elmwood looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Elmwood is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 21%, about 13 points above the Rhode Island average of 8%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 37% of adults in Elmwood report food insecurity, above 91% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Elmwood sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Wayland, Providence, RI D+40
- Lower South Providence, Providence, RI D+39
- Upper South Providence, Providence, RI D+46
- Reservoir, Providence, RI D+22
- West End, Providence, RI D+48
- Washington Park, Providence, RI D+39
- South Elmwood, Providence, RI D+28
- Federal Hill, Providence, RI D+60
- Downtown, Providence, RI D+64
- Edgewood, Cranston, RI D+43
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Center Hill, Atlanta, GA D+87
- Reservoir Hill-Bolton Hill, Baltimore, MD D+82
- Steele Creek, Charlotte, NC D+44
- Aurora Highlands, Aurora, CO D+28
- Sherwood-Tualatin North, Sherwood, OR D+23
- East Forest Park, Springfield, MA D+22
- Madisonville, Cincinnati, OH D+46
- Vista Creek, Perris, CA D+22
- Irvington, Indianapolis, IN D+32
- Ledroit Park, Washington, DC D+88
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.