Federal Hill is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 43% of adults in Federal Hill typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Federal Hill, ~34% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Federal Hill compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Federal Hill leans more Democratic than 31 of 37 neighbors.
Federal Hill runs about 46 points more Democratic than Rhode Island as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Federal Hill. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+73) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+53), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Federal Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Federal Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 58% of adults in Federal Hill have never been married, well above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 41%).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Federal Hill, Providence, RI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Federal Hill looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 82% of households in Federal Hill rent, about 57 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Federal Hill sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Valley, Providence, RI D+38
- Downtown, Providence, RI D+64
- West End, Providence, RI D+48
- Upper South Providence, Providence, RI D+46
- Olneyville, Providence, RI D+36
- Smith Hill, Providence, RI D+47
- Wayland, Providence, RI D+40
- Mount Pleasant, Providence, RI D+35
- College Hill, Providence, RI D+78
- Silver Lake, Providence, RI D+24
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Circle Cross Ranch, San Tan Valley, AZ R+22
- Southside Flats, Pittsburgh, PA D+55
- People's Freeway, Salt Lake City, UT D+47
- Landover-Sharmel, Vancouver, WA D+22
- Saint Louis Hills, St. Louis, MO D+33
- Irvine Health and Science Complex, Irvine, CA D+23
- Chabot Terrace, Vallejo, CA D+48
- Prattville, Chelsea, MA D+26
- Periwinkle, Albany, OR R+5
- Morrell Park, Baltimore, MD D+22
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.