Embrey Mill leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 97% of adults in Embrey Mill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Embrey Mill, ~57% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~3% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Embrey Mill compares
Embrey Mill runs about 12 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why Embrey Mill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Embrey Mill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 57% of adults in Embrey Mill hold a bachelor's degree, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Embrey Mill, Stafford, VA does.
Why turnout in Embrey Mill looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Embrey Mill own their home, about 15 points above the Virginia average of 76%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Embrey Mill have completed high school, above 92% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Wellington, Manassas, VA D+13
- Baldwin District, Manassas, VA D+17
- Weems, Manassas, VA D+11
- West Gate, Sudley, VA D+17
- South Post, Fort Belvoir, VA D+19
- Mt Vernon, Mount Vernon, VA D+35
- Bensville, Waldorf, MD D+53
- Woodlawn, Alexandria, VA D+47
- North Springfield, Springfield, VA D+26
- Wakefield Park, Annandale, VA D+35
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Downtown Fargo, Fargo, ND D+25
- Clifton, Louisville, KY D+59
- Ward Parkway, Kansas City, MO D+48
- West End Historic District, Dallas, TX D+33
- Downtown Hamtramck, Hamtramck, MI R+9
- Perry South, Pittsburgh, PA D+77
- West Lincoln, Lincoln, NE D+3
- Sugaw Creek, Charlotte, NC D+65
- The Gardens, Ocean City, NJ R+6
- Hibiscus, Azalea Park, FL D+10
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.