North Springfield leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 83% of adults in North Springfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Springfield, ~52% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Springfield compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, North Springfield is the least Democratic-leaning.
North Springfield runs about 20 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why North Springfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Springfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 57% of adults in North Springfield hold a bachelor's degree, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; North Springfield, Springfield, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in North Springfield looks the way it does
Turnout in North Springfield sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Wakefield Park, Annandale, VA D+35
- Landmark-Van Dom, Alexandria, VA D+54
- Mantua, Fairfax, VA D+40
- Lake Barcroft, Falls Church, VA D+41
- Alexandria Wrest, Alexandria, VA D+51
- Bailey's Crossroads, Falls Church, VA D+44
- Rose Hill, Alexandria, VA D+42
- Seminary Hill, Alexandria, VA D+52
- Merrifield, Fairfax, VA D+48
- Madison Condominium, Falls Church, VA D+45
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.