Rosita leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Rosita typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rosita, ~20% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rosita compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Rosita leans more Republican than 20 of 21 neighbors.
Politically, Rosita sits close to the rest of Texas.
Why Rosita leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rosita, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in Rosita hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Texas average of 26%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in Rosita are family households, above 95% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Rosita, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Rosita looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Rosita is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 39%, about 15 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 60% of adults in Rosita have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Rosita sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Escobares, TX R+5
- Old Escobares, TX Even
- Los Ebanos, TX R+12
- Roma, TX R+4
- Los Saenz, TX Even
- Roma Creek, TX R+4
- Rio Grande City, TX R+7
- Santa Cruz, TX R+15
- Garza-Salinas II, TX R+2
- Fronton, TX R+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Malta, NY D+3
- Castile, NY R+37
- Sturgeon Lake, MN R+37
- Glasford, IL R+41
- Upper Nyack, NY D+51
- Smith River, CA R+12
- Bayside, CA D+52
- Cibecue, AZ D+57
- Lynchburg, SC D+41
- Milano, TX R+69
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.