Los Saenz is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Los Saenz typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Los Saenz, ~40% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Los Saenz compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Los Saenz sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 20 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 0 leaning the other way.
Los Saenz runs about 15 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Los Saenz sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Los Saenz. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Los Saenz leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Los Saenz, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Los Saenz votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Los Saenz runs about 15 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Los Saenz, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Los Saenz looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Los Saenz is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 33%, about 21 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Roma, TX R+4
- Roma Creek, TX R+4
- Old Escobares, TX Even
- Escobares, TX R+5
- Fronton, TX R+6
- Rosita, TX R+15
- Salineno, TX R+10
- Los Ebanos, TX R+12
- Falcon Village, TX R+14
- Rio Grande City, TX R+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alberton, MT R+37
- Mount Holly, OH R+53
- West Manchester, OH R+61
- Ridgway, IL R+54
- Long Beach, MN R+33
- Shop Springs, TN R+66
- Glen Aubrey, NY R+36
- Stinnett, KY R+74
- Eola, IL D+29
- Fairfield, KY R+60
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.