Estacada leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Estacada typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Estacada, ~33% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Estacada compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Estacada leans more Republican than 51 of 66 neighbors.
Estacada runs about 39 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Estacada is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Estacada. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Estacada leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Estacada, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Estacada votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Estacada runs about 39 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Estacada runs against that pattern. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Estacada sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 78% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Estacada, OR sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Estacada looks the way it does
Turnout in Estacada sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Currinsville, OR R+31
- Eagle Creek, OR R+27
- George, OR R+30
- Dodge, OR R+33
- Clarkes, OR R+23
- Viola, OR R+19
- Kelso, OR R+24
- Sandy, OR R+14
- Beavercreek, OR R+28
- Colton, OR R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Whitsett, NC D+6
- Centerville, GA R+6
- West Frankfort, IL R+50
- Campobello, SC R+65
- Abingdon, MD D+8
- Woodmoor, CO R+25
- Hornell, NY R+27
- Tamaqua, PA R+38
- Johnstown, NY R+25
- Bunker Hill, WV R+42
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.