Evans Mills leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Evans Mills typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Evans Mills, ~19% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Evans Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Evans Mills leans more Republican than 22 of 83 neighbors.
Evans Mills runs about 41 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Evans Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Evans Mills. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Evans Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Evans Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Evans Mills votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Evans Mills runs about 41 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Evans Mills, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Evans Mills looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 56% of households in Evans Mills rent, about 31 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in Evans Mills have more than one occupant per room, above 92% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 97% of adults in Evans Mills have completed high school, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fort Drum, NY R+3
- Calcium, NY R+19
- Felts Mills, NY R+29
- Black River, NY R+23
- Great Bend, NY R+16
- Philadelphia, NY R+40
- Stone Mills, NY R+47
- Deferiet, NY R+31
- Orleans Four Corners, NY R+45
- Glen Park, NY R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Thorndale, PA D+10
- Hurley, NY D+12
- Roseburg North, OR R+19
- Narcoossee, FL R+12
- Montross, VA R+12
- Avalon, CA D+16
- Baltic, OH R+72
- Port Gibson, MS D+73
- White Post, VA R+16
- Mansura, LA R+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.