Montross leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Montross typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Montross, ~34% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Montross compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Montross leans more Republican than 40 of 117 neighbors.
Montross runs about 18 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Montross is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Montross. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+34), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Montross leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Montross, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Montross votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Montross runs about 18 points more Republican.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Montross, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Montross looks the way it does
Turnout in Montross sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chisford, VA R+34
- Hinnom, VA D+7
- Templeman, VA D+7
- Foneswood, VA R+23
- Mount Holly, VA R+6
- Newland, VA R+46
- Farmers Fork, VA R+39
- Coltons Point, MD R+42
- Abell, MD R+42
- Horners, VA R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Roseburg North, OR R+19
- Baltic, OH R+72
- Avalon, CA D+16
- Hurley, NY D+12
- Evans Mills, NY R+28
- Port Gibson, MS D+73
- Pleasant Lake, MI R+34
- Mansura, LA R+4
- White Stone, TX D+11
- Thorndale, PA D+10
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.