Fair Oaks Ranch leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Fair Oaks Ranch typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fair Oaks Ranch, ~27% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fair Oaks Ranch compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fair Oaks Ranch leans more Republican than 21 of 37 neighbors.
Fair Oaks Ranch runs about 24 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fair Oaks Ranch. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Fair Oaks Ranch leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fair Oaks Ranch, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Fair Oaks Ranch votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 55%, well above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in Fair Oaks Ranch are family households, above 88% of cities.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Fair Oaks Ranch, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Fair Oaks Ranch looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Fair Oaks Ranch is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Fair Oaks Ranch own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Fair Oaks Ranch have completed high school, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Boerne, TX R+39
- Grey Forest, TX R+20
- Van Raub, TX R+55
- Bergheim, TX R+56
- Leon Springs, TX R+61
- San Geronimo, TX R+32
- Timberwood Park, TX R+15
- Helotes, TX R+8
- Shavano Park, TX R+8
- Bulverde, TX R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lake Villa, IL Even
- University Heights, OH D+35
- South Daytona, FL R+12
- Bradford, PA R+32
- Hazel Green, AL R+57
- Arbutus, MD D+11
- Eight Mile, AL R+11
- Brandywine, MD D+60
- Rice Lake, WI R+20
- Plymouth, WI R+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.