Fair Play is a Republican stronghold. About 11% of voters here vote Democratic and 89% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Fair Play typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fair Play, ~8% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fair Play compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fair Play leans more Republican than 31 of 35 neighbors.
Fair Play runs about 64 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fair Play. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+80) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+65), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Fair Play leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fair Play, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 91% of residents in Fair Play drive to work alone, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 87% of households in Fair Play are family households, above 98% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Fair Play, TX sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Fair Play looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Fair Play is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Beckville, TX R+66
- Riderville, TX R+71
- Grand Bluff, TX R+66
- Tatum, TX R+57
- Holland Quarters, TX R+16
- Delray, TX R+56
- Carthage, TX R+54
- Panola, TX R+74
- Darco, TX R+55
- Clayton, TX R+79
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hartley, PA R+60
- Young, WV R+62
- Worthen, AR R+62
- Little Rock, MN D+82
- Pulvers Corners, NY D+4
- Algiers, IN R+59
- Buffalo Springs, VA R+39
- Quaker Street, NY R+23
- Howard, NY R+52
- Thackeray, IL R+71
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.