Fargo leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Fargo typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fargo, ~20% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fargo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fargo leans more Republican than 3 of 50 neighbors.
Fargo runs about 18 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fargo. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+24) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Fargo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fargo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 6% of adults in Fargo hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Arkansas average of 18%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 89% of residents in Fargo drive to work alone, above 92% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Fargo, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Fargo looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Fargo is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 7 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 48% of households in Fargo rent, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in Fargo report food insecurity, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Zent, AR R+36
- Brinkley, AR R+17
- Wheatley, AR R+24
- Cotton Plant, AR R+2
- Maberry, AR R+24
- Smale, AR R+49
- Hunter, AR R+74
- Goodwin, AR R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Arctic Village, AK D+26
- Arbor, MO R+75
- Stackhouse, NC R+40
- North Chatham, NY D+14
- McKinley, IN R+64
- Duffies, NC D+7
- Stark, MT R+29
- North Beach, OR R+2
- Long Point, MI R+20
- Rescue, MO R+73
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.